Inequalities and limits under the expectation

Section of Expectation and convergence, part of Stochastic processes

Inequalities and limits under the expectation

Type Section
Taught in Expectation and convergence
Part Stochastic processes

Expectation is linear on integrable variables, and it is monotone: X\le Y implies \mathbb{E} X\le\mathbb{E} Y when both expectations exist. If \varphi is convex and X is integrable, with \varphi(X) integrable as well, Jensen’s inequality says

\varphi(\mathbb{E} X)\le\mathbb{E}\varphi(X).

For \varphi(x)=x^2 this is (\mathbb{E} X)^2\le\mathbb{E} X^2, which rearranges to \operatorname{Var}(X)\ge 0.

Theorem 1 (Monotone convergence, Fatou, and dominated convergence) If 0\le X_n\uparrow X with probability 1, the monotone convergence theorem gives \mathbb{E} X_n\uparrow\mathbb{E} X, and the limit may be infinite. If X_n\ge 0, Fatou’s lemma gives \mathbb{E}(\liminf_n X_n)\le\liminf_n\mathbb{E} X_n. If X_n\to X with probability 1 and |X_n|\le Y for every n, with \mathbb{E} Y<\infty, the dominated convergence theorem gives \mathbb{E} X_n\to\mathbb{E} X.

Article: Monotone convergence, Fatou, and dominated convergence →

The hypotheses differ. An integrable bound that dominates every X_n stops probability mass from escaping into spikes that get rarer and taller. Without that bound, a limit of the variables need not be the limit of the expectations.

Example 1 (A spike of height n and width 1/n) Let U be uniform on (0,1) and let X_n=n\,1_{\{U\le 1/n\}}.

Question. Find the almost-sure limit and the expectations \mathbb{E} X_n.

Solution. If U(\omega)=u>0, then u>1/n for every n>1/u, so X_n(\omega)=0 from that index on. The single point U=0 has probability 0. Thus X_n\to 0 with probability 1. The expectation does not follow:

\mathbb{E} X_n=n\cdot\mathbb{P}(U\le 1/n)=n\cdot\frac{1}{n}=1

for every n. There is no integrable Y with |X_n|\le Y for all n. Any such Y would have to be at least n on a set of probability 1/n, for every n, and those spikes force \mathbb{E} Y=\infty.

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See also

Monotone convergence, Fatou, and dominated convergence · Modes of convergence · Strong law · Uniform integrability · Four modes of convergence · Where the reverse implications fail · Laws of large numbers · Characteristic functions

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