Probability measure

Definition taught in Random experiments and probability, part of Probability

Probability measure

Twenty simulated runs of 100 tosses of a fair coin. From Random experiments and probability.
Type Definition
Taught in Random experiments and probability
Part Probability
Properties 2

A probability \mathbb{P} assigns a number to each event and satisfies three axioms: \mathbb{P}(A)\ge 0, \mathbb{P}(\Omega)=1, and for any sequence of disjoint events,

\mathbb{P}\Bigl(\bigcup_i A_i\Bigr)=\sum_i \mathbb{P}(A_i).

Properties

Properties of a probability

For events A and B,

  1. \mathbb{P}(\emptyset)=0.
  2. A\subset B implies \mathbb{P}(A)\le \mathbb{P}(B).
  3. \mathbb{P}(A)\le 1.
  4. \mathbb{P}(A^c)=1-\mathbb{P}(A).
  5. \mathbb{P}(A\cup B)=\mathbb{P}(A)+\mathbb{P}(B)-\mathbb{P}(A\cap B).

The empty set is disjoint from \Omega, so the sum rule gives \mathbb{P}(\Omega)=\mathbb{P}(\Omega)+\mathbb{P}(\emptyset). The complement formula is the sum rule on the disjoint union \Omega=A\cup A^c. For the union formula, write A\cup B as the disjoint union of A and B\cap A^c, and write B as the disjoint union of A\cap B and B\cap A^c. Subtracting the two expansions cancels \mathbb{P}(B\cap A^c).

Equally likely outcomes

Main article: Equally likely outcomes

If \Omega is finite and every outcome has the same probability, then for every event A

\mathbb{P}(A)=\frac{|A|}{|\Omega|}.

Used in

See also

Sample space · Event · Properties of a probability · Equally likely outcomes · Four ways of counting draws · Conditional probability · Product rule · Law of total probability

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