Stationarity and the law from one start

Section of Discrete-time Markov chains, part of Stochastic processes

Stationarity and the law from one start

Type Section
Taught in Discrete-time Markov chains
Part Stochastic processes

If the chain starts from \pi, every later marginal equals \pi. The path still moves. Stationarity is a statement about marginal distributions, not a claim that the chain freezes.

If the chain starts in a single state i, the law \mu_0 P^n may take time to approach \pi. In a periodic chain it may fail to approach \pi at individual times, even though \pi exists. The class structure, the period, and the conditions that turn a stationary law into a limit from every start are on Classes, recurrence, and reversibility. The limit theorem for an irreducible aperiodic finite chain, with the stepping-stone calculation, is on Markov chains.

Key idea

One row of P is the law of the next state given the current state. Hitting probabilities and mean hitting times solve first-step equations with boundary values on the target. A vector \pi=\pi P is unchanged by one step. Convergence of P^n to that vector needs more than the equation \pi P=\pi.

Used in

See also

Discrete-time Markov chain · Stationary distribution · Transition matrix · Hitting probabilities · Spectral view for two states · Markov assumption as a chosen state · Doubly stochastic matrix

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