The mean of repeated voltage readings
Topic: Functions of random variables and limit theorems · more questions on this topic
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Voltage readings X_1,\ldots,X_n are independent and \operatorname{N}(\mu,\sigma^2), with \mu and \sigma^2 unknown. Let \overline X=(X_1+\cdots+X_n)/n, and suppose x_1,\ldots,x_n are the observed values.
What function of the observations estimates \mu?
Show that \mathbb{E}\overline X=\mu.
Show that \operatorname{Var}(\overline X)\to 0 as n\to\infty.
State the distribution of \overline X.
What do (b) and (c) say about the estimate in (a)?
Use the sample average \overline x=(x_1+\cdots+x_n)/n.
\mathbb{E}\overline X=n^{-1}(\mathbb{E} X_1+\cdots+\mathbb{E} X_n)=\mu.
Independence gives \operatorname{Var}(\overline X)=\sigma^2/n, which tends to 0.
An affine image of independent normals is normal, so \overline X\sim\operatorname{N}(\mu,\sigma^2/n).
The estimate is unbiased at every n, and its variance disappears as more readings are taken, so \overline x concentrates on \mu.