Mean response or new response?
Topic: Bayesian linear regression · more questions on this topic
‹ Direct sampling or Gibbs? Independent and scaled priors ›
At a new predictor vector \widetilde{\boldsymbol{x}}, derive the posterior distribution of the fitted mean \widetilde{\boldsymbol{x}}^{\mathsf T}{\boldsymbol{\beta}} and the posterior predictive distribution of a new response. Account for the extra 1 in the new-response squared scale.