Kullback–Leibler divergence

Section of Model selection for stochastic models, part of Statistical learning

Kullback–Leibler divergence

Type Section
Taught in Model selection for stochastic models
Part Statistical learning
Questions using it 1

The expected log-likelihood of a new observation differs from a Kullback–Leibler divergence by a constant that does not depend on the candidate. Let f be the density of a new observation and \widehat f the fitted density. Then

D(f\Vert\widehat f) =\int\ln\Bigl(\frac{f(x)}{\widehat f(x)}\Bigr)f(x)\,dx =\int f\ln f-\mathbb{E}\bigl[\ln\widehat f(X)\bigr].

The integral \int f\ln f does not depend on which candidate produced \widehat f. Maximising \mathbb{E}[\ln\widehat f(X)] is therefore the same comparison as minimising D(f\Vert\widehat f). The divergence is not symmetric. The convention puts the density of the expectation, here the true f, in the first argument.

Used in

See also

Gibbs’ inequality · Bayesian information criterion · Akaike information criterion · Laplace approximation · Dropping terms that do not scale with n · Reading the BIC · Cross-validation of the likelihood · BIC sign conventions

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