Time series

Topic of Dependence along a series, part of Time series

Time series

Type Topic
Taught in Dependence along a series
Part Time series
Questions using it 1

Observations of one quantity in time order, X_1,X_2,\ldots,X_T. Neighbouring values are dependent, so a series is one realisation of a process, not an independent sample, and stationarity is what makes the dependence estimable.

In Dependence along a series

Clustered data are dependent because they share a block. A time series is dependent because it is ordered. Today’s observation can depend on yesterday’s observation, or on yesterday’s surprise. The aim is less “describe this sample” than “say what happens next”. A perfect fit to the past, with one parameter per time point, does not forecast.

Used in

See also

Stationarity of a time series · Wold decomposition · Autoregression and moving averages · Random walk with drift · White noise · Variogram · Gaussian process · Autocorrelation function

Glossary and index