A future run of tosses

Topic: The Beta–Binomial model · more questions on this topic
‹ Sequential updating A geometric observation and a uniform prior ›

For the posterior \operatorname{Beta}(10,4) and m=5 future tosses, derive the full Beta–Binomial predictive mass function, its mean, and its variance. Compare the variance with the binomial plug-in variance obtained from \widehat\theta=10/14.

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