A finite endpoint, and a Weibull extreme-value law

Section of A first look at extremes, part of Stochastic processes

A finite endpoint, and a Weibull extreme-value law

Type Section
Taught in A first look at extremes
Part Stochastic processes

Let X_i be uniform on (0,1), so the upper endpoint is 1. Set Y_n=n(1-M_n). For y\ge 0 and n>y,

\mathrm{P}(Y_n>y)=\mathrm{P}(M_n<1-y/n)=\Bigl(1-\frac{y}{n}\Bigr)^n\to e^{-y}.

Equivalently, n(M_n-1) converges in distribution to a reversed exponential law supported on (-\infty,0]. This is an example of the Weibull extreme-value type. The name is the extreme-value type, not the Weibull distribution used there as a lifetime model. A finite endpoint changes both the centring, which approaches the endpoint, and the support of the limit, which lies on one side of 0.

The three limits correspond to three upper-tail structures: a finite endpoint, a light unbounded tail, and a heavy unbounded tail.

Used in

See also

Weibull distribution · Exponential tails, and the Gumbel law · Power-law tails, and the Fréchet law · Extreme-value classification · Pareto distribution

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