Trace plot

Topic of Markov chains, Gibbs sampling, and Metropolis–Hastings, part of Bayesian statistics

Trace plot

Type Topic
Taught in Markov chains, Gibbs sampling, and Metropolis–Hastings
Part Bayesian statistics
Questions using it 3

A plot of the sampled values of a parameter against iteration number. A chain that drifts, sticks, or disagrees with other chains shows a problem; a tidy plot is evidence of mixing, not a proof of convergence.

In Markov chains, Gibbs sampling, and Metropolis–Hastings

The trace plot and autocorrelation function are not substitutes for the stationarity argument. They address the separate practical question of whether this finite run appears to have explored the target well enough for the posterior summary at hand.

Used in

See also

Markov chain · Stationarity and detailed balance · Detailed balance implies stationarity · Systematic-scan Gibbs sampler · Warm-up is not a convergence proof · Metropolis–Hastings update · Metropolis–Hastings invariance · Markov chains and equilibrium

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